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Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros

Implied probability 88%+41
24-hour volume$606k
Total volume$659k
Liquidity$174k
Resolves6 Oct 2026

Why it moved: +25 points at 21:47 UTC, after www.espn.com: Follow live: Astros host White Sox in Game 1 of AL Wild Card — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
0%50%100%88%28 Sept, 18:54 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now88%
29 Sept, 21:47 UTC78%
29 Sept, 21:25 UTC53%
28 Sept, 19:18 UTC47%
28 Sept, 18:54 UTC46%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Chicago White Sox if they win the game and to Houston Astros if they win. If the game is postponed, it stays open until completion; if canceled with no makeup or tied, it splits evenly. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, but the source of truth is the official final statistics from the governing body.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Chicago White Sox 88%
  • Houston Astros 13%

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