Will Germany win on 2026-10-01?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 77% |
| 27 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 22:24 UTC | 79% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if Germany wins the match within the first 90 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time on October 1, 2026. It resolves to "No" if Germany does not win, including draws or losses, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match. Readers often mistake the source of truth by relying on live scores rather than the official final result recognized by the governing body.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 77%
- No 24%
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