Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees
Implied probability 44%−5
24-hour volume$67k
Total volume$103k
Liquidity$267k
Resolves8 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 11:18 UTC | 44% |
| 30 Sept, 08:35 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 04:55 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 03:42 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 02:59 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 45% |
| 30 Sept, 01:08 UTC | 46% |
| 30 Sept, 00:40 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 20:49 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 17:16 UTC | 46% |
| 29 Sept, 13:58 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 11:35 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 07:26 UTC | 50% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 51% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 49% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 41% |
| 27 Sept, 12:40 UTC | 47% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Boston Red Sox if they win the game and New York Yankees if they win. It stays open if the game is postponed but closes immediately if it ends in a tie or cancels without a make-up game. Readers often mistake the linked story about the pitching rotation for the actual game result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Boston Red Sox 44%
- New York Yankees 56%
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