Las Vegas Aces vs. Indiana Fever
The market favoured Indiana Fever at 53% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$389k
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$55k
Resolved29 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 30 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 0% |
| 29 Sept, 21:32 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 16:31 UTC | 49% |
| 29 Sept, 10:15 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 09:30 UTC | 47% |
| 29 Sept, 05:53 UTC | 48% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 50% |
| 28 Sept, 11:17 UTC | 51% |
| 27 Sept, 11:16 UTC | 47% |
What counts
The Las Vegas Aces outcome resolves if they win the scheduled game, while the Indiana Fever outcome resolves if they win. The result depends on the final score after any overtime periods. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but the official WNBA final score is the only thing that counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Las Vegas Aces 0%
- Indiana Fever 100%
View this market on Polymarket →