Liverpool FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
The market favoured Over at 61% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$483k
Total volume$485k
Liquidity$371k
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 11 Oct, 18:17 UTC | 100% |
| 11 Oct, 13:51 UTC | 60% |
| 11 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 62% |
What counts
The Over outcome requires Liverpool and Manchester City to score three or more goals combined during regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their total is less than three. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the market closes immediately at 11:30 AM ET instead of waiting for the game to finish.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 100%
- Under 0%
View this market on Polymarket →