Trump renames AI by December 31?
Implied probability 67%+8
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$6k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 21:15 UTC | 67% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 20:29 UTC | 65% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 66% |
| 27 Sept, 19:20 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 68% |
| 27 Sept, 18:20 UTC | 69% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 14:03 UTC | 57% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 58% |
| 27 Sept, 13:29 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 03:39 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 03:06 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 02:58 UTC | 60% |
| 27 Sept, 01:41 UTC | 59% |
| 27 Sept, 01:24 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 21:24 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 61% |
| 26 Sept, 19:16 UTC | 59% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 60% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 58% |
| 26 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 55% |
| 26 Sept, 13:50 UTC | 55% |
| 26 Sept, 12:22 UTC | 54% |
| 26 Sept, 10:50 UTC | 57% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump signs an executive order or similar directive that officially replaces "artificial intelligence" as the federal government's designation for the technology by December 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The new name must apply to the technology itself, not just a specific agency, program, or private product.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 67%
- No 33%
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