Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $200B and $300B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
Implied probability 1%
Total volume$32k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves1 Jan 2028
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 15 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 1% |
| 14 Oct, 01:55 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves based on Anthropic's market capitalization at the close of its first trading day. If no IPO happens by December 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the resolution data instead of waiting for the official closing price on the primary exchange.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 100%
Trade this market on Polymarket →