Daniel Dubois vs. Fabio Wardley
Implied probability 100%+26
24-hour volume$85k
Total volume$140k
Liquidity$268k
Resolves18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 17 Oct, 21:52 UTC | 91% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 68% |
| 17 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 76% |
| 17 Oct, 13:09 UTC | 75% |
| 17 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 75% |
| 16 Oct, 12:00 UTC | 74% |
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What counts
Daniel Dubois wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight against Fabio Wardley on October 17, 2026. Fabio Wardley wins if he is officially declared the winner of the same fight. The market resolves to "50-50" if the fight ends in a draw, technical draw, no contest, is canceled before starting, or is postponed beyond October 31, 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Daniel Dubois 100%
- Fabio Wardley 1%
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