Meloni out as Prime Minister of Italy by December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 13:59 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Oct, 11:11 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 10:52 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 09:09 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 08:24 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 07:45 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 07:00 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 06:33 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 05:23 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Oct, 04:44 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 04:31 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if Giorgia Meloni stops being Prime Minister at any point before December 31, 2026, or if she announces her resignation or removal before that date. The No outcome applies if she remains in office through the deadline without such an announcement. Readers often mistake the resolution source, but credible reporting consensus suffices alongside official government confirmation.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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