New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays
Implied probability 6%−48
24-hour volume$301k
Total volume$304k
Liquidity$119k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 6 Oct, 02:10 UTC | 12% |
| 6 Oct, 01:57 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 38% |
| 6 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 48% |
| 5 Oct, 15:14 UTC | 53% |
| 5 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 54% |
| 4 Oct, 11:30 UTC | 55% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to New York Yankees if they win the scheduled MLB game against the Tampa Bay Rays on October 5. It resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win the same game. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, but the market stays open until the game is completed even if postponed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- New York Yankees 6%
- Tampa Bay Rays 95%
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