Spread: Fresno State (-7.5)
Implied probability 44%−4
24-hour volume$37k
Total volume$37k
Liquidity$65k
Resolves18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 44% |
| 18 Oct, 02:31 UTC | 44% |
| 17 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 46% |
| 16 Oct, 18:28 UTC | 49% |
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What counts
Fresno State wins if they beat San Diego State by eight points or more. Otherwise, San Diego State wins. The deadline is when the game ends, not when it starts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Fresno State 44%
- San Diego State 56%
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