Will CNN fly with Trump by October 15?
Implied probability 7%−6
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves16 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 6% |
| 1 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 12:58 UTC | 7% |
| 1 Oct, 12:15 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 11:26 UTC | 8% |
| 1 Oct, 10:57 UTC | 9% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 14% |
| 1 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 14% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if a journalist currently representing CNN is on a plane with Donald Trump at takeoff before October 15, 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if this specific condition does not happen within the deadline. Readers often mistake any past work for CNN as sufficient, but the journalist must represent CNN at the exact time of the flight.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 94%
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