Will the Safeguarding Swiss neutrality (neutrality initiative) initiative be approved in Switzerland’s September 27, 2026 popular vote?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 12:38 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 12:18 UTC | 3% |
| 25 Sept, 10:43 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 10:29 UTC | 1% |
| 25 Sept, 09:17 UTC | 1% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the neutrality initiative passes under Swiss legal rules in the September 27, 2026 vote. It resolves to No if the measure fails or if results are not definitively known by the next scheduled referendum date. Readers often mistake the source of truth, but only official certified results from Swiss government authorities count, not media reports.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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