Will Isack Hadjar win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix?
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$7k
Total volume$70k
Liquidity$32k
Resolved11 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 5 Oct, 09:27 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 0% |
| 4 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Oct, 08:56 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 08:04 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 07:51 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 06:52 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 06:27 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 04:45 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 03:53 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 02:56 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 01:59 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 01:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 00:47 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 23:55 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 23:29 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 21:10 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 19:56 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 17:21 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 1% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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