Will Angel Reese win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?
The market favoured Yes at 94% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$0
Resolved15 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Oct, 18:12 UTC | 100% |
| 1 Oct, 15:00 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 13:21 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 12:38 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 10:42 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 08:48 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 07:41 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 07:02 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 04:59 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 01:41 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 01:12 UTC | 94% |
| 1 Oct, 00:58 UTC | 93% |
| 1 Oct, 00:23 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 22:59 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 21:55 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 20:16 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 17:36 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 16:52 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 16:09 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 15:39 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 15:23 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 13:38 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 13:08 UTC | 94% |
| 30 Sept, 12:53 UTC | 95% |
| 30 Sept, 12:24 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 11:33 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 11:18 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 10:07 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 08:13 UTC | 96% |
| 30 Sept, 07:58 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 03:13 UTC | 96% |
| 30 Sept, 02:21 UTC | 97% |
| 30 Sept, 01:52 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 22:02 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 21:47 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 18:13 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 15:16 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 13:27 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 12:48 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 12:26 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 11:56 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 11:28 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 10:08 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 09:09 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 08:48 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 08:27 UTC | 97% |
| 29 Sept, 06:22 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 19:18 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 14:06 UTC | 97% |
| 28 Sept, 13:30 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 10:16 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 09:57 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 09:12 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 06:24 UTC | 94% |
| 28 Sept, 05:19 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 93% |
| 28 Sept, 03:26 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Sept, 02:55 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 02:25 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 01:43 UTC | 89% |
| 28 Sept, 01:28 UTC | 88% |
| 28 Sept, 00:30 UTC | 90% |
| 28 Sept, 00:22 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 23:51 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 90% |
| 27 Sept, 20:22 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 19:59 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 19:27 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 18:27 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 16:59 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 16:23 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 15:59 UTC | 89% |
| 27 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 88% |
| 27 Sept, 14:45 UTC | 84% |
| 27 Sept, 14:24 UTC | 84% |
| 27 Sept, 13:55 UTC | 83% |
| 27 Sept, 03:53 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 19:07 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 18:26 UTC | 80% |
| 26 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 14:37 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 14:01 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 09:24 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 08:30 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Sept, 06:00 UTC | 79% |
| 26 Sept, 04:36 UTC | 78% |
| 26 Sept, 03:23 UTC | 78% |
What counts
Yes resolves if Angel Reese wins the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award. No resolves if any other player wins that specific award. Readers often mistake expert predictions or media consensus for the official result, but only the actual winner declared by the WNBA counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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