Spread: Chiefs (-7.5)
Implied probability 50%−1
24-hour volume$4k
Total volume$68k
Liquidity$329k
Resolves18 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 16 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 50% |
| 16 Oct, 18:24 UTC | 50% |
| 16 Oct, 14:30 UTC | 51% |
| 16 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 50% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 49% |
| 15 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The Chiefs outcome triggers if they win by eight points or more. The Chargers outcome triggers if they win by seven points or fewer, or if the game ends in a tie. Readers often forget that overtime counts toward the final margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Chiefs 50%
- Chargers 51%
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