Will Anthropic have the best AI Agent at the end of October 2026?
Implied probability 86%+3
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$19k
Liquidity$914
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 86% |
| 21 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 86% |
| 21 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 87% |
| 21 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 88% |
| 21 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 88% |
| 21 Sept, 15:15 UTC | 87% |
| 21 Sept, 14:36 UTC | 88% |
| 21 Sept, 13:02 UTC | 87% |
| 21 Sept, 12:37 UTC | 87% |
| 21 Sept, 11:23 UTC | 88% |
| 21 Sept, 10:37 UTC | 83% |
| 21 Sept, 07:14 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 06:57 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 06:19 UTC | 91% |
| 21 Sept, 05:55 UTC | 90% |
| 21 Sept, 00:38 UTC | 84% |
| 21 Sept, 00:07 UTC | 85% |
| 20 Sept, 21:07 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 84% |
| 20 Sept, 15:07 UTC | 84% |
| 19 Sept, 15:06 UTC | 80% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves based on which company owns the top-ranked AI model on the Agent Arena Leaderboard at 12:00 PM ET on October 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Anthropic and Accenture for the resolution criteria, but only the leaderboard ranking matters. Models labeled “AutoEval” do not count toward the final result.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 86%
- No 14%
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