Will Avengers: Doomsday have the 2nd best domestic opening weekend in 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 56% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Avengers: Doomsday has the second-highest domestic opening weekend gross among all movies released in 2026. The final ranking relies on the official three-day figures from The Numbers website, excluding studio estimates. Readers often mistake the source of truth by using box office reports from other websites or relying on preliminary data before it is finalized.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 44%
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