Spread: Michigan (-5.5)
Implied probability 50%
24-hour volume$11k
Total volume$14k
Liquidity$108k
Resolves26 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 50% |
| 24 Sept, 19:24 UTC | 49% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Michigan wins if they beat Iowa by six points or more. Iowa wins if they win outright or lose by five points or fewer. Readers often mistake the prediction in the linked headline for the actual result, but only the final score matters.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Michigan 50%
- Iowa 51%
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