Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?
Why it moved: −6 points at 04:28 UTC, after Times of India: Cornell sexual assault case: Snapchat records, police transcript prompt fresh probe — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 35% |
| 2 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 34% |
| 2 Oct, 04:28 UTC | 36% |
| 2 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 41% |
| 2 Oct, 01:13 UTC | 42% |
| 2 Oct, 00:30 UTC | 43% |
| 2 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 43% |
| 1 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 46% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 06:55 UTC | 47% |
| 1 Oct, 04:30 UTC | 44% |
| 1 Oct, 04:11 UTC | 42% |
| 1 Oct, 03:55 UTC | 29% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if any of the seven named defendants faces a formal felony sex crime charge or indictment from a US federal or state authority before January 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The outcome is No if no such official charge occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the civil complaint for a criminal charge or miss the specific January 31, 2027 cutoff date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 35%
- No 66%
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