Will Avengers: Doomsday have the best domestic opening week in 2026?
Implied probability 56%−1
24-hour volume$32
Total volume$92k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves1 Feb 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 56% |
| 23 Sept, 20:55 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Sept, 17:32 UTC | 56% |
| 23 Sept, 13:56 UTC | 56% |
| 22 Sept, 20:35 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 11:10 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 10:52 UTC | 58% |
| 22 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 07:09 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 06:39 UTC | 58% |
| 22 Sept, 00:59 UTC | 57% |
| 22 Sept, 00:01 UTC | 56% |
| 21 Sept, 23:55 UTC | 57% |
| 21 Sept, 23:16 UTC | 57% |
| 21 Sept, 22:56 UTC | 57% |
| 21 Sept, 22:29 UTC | 57% |
| 20 Sept, 22:28 UTC | 64% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Avengers: Doomsday earns more domestic box office revenue during its opening week than any other film in 2026. The outcome depends on final, non-estimated figures from the Weekly Box Office Performance table on The Numbers website.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 56%
- No 45%
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