Will Portugal vs. Wales end in a draw?
Why it moved: −3 points at 16:18 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: LIVE: Portugal vs Wales – UEFA Nations League — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 11% |
| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 11% |
| 23 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 14% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the match ends in a draw after 90 minutes plus stoppage time, and No otherwise. The official final result from the governing body determines the outcome, with secondary data sources used only if that information is not published within two hours. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution or assume postponed games count as draws immediately.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 11%
- No 90%
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