Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Implied probability 45%−1
24-hour volume$21k
Total volume$22k
Liquidity$228k
Resolves23 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 45% |
| 21 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 45% |
| 20 Oct, 14:22 UTC | 46% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The Bears outcome occurs if they win by four or more points. The Patriots outcome occurs in all other cases, including any win by three points or fewer. Readers often mistake the point spread for a requirement to cover the spread rather than winning by that margin.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bears 45%
- Patriots 56%
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