Will Harry Gray win the Nobel Prize in Chemistry in 2026?
Why it moved: −9 points at 10:22 UTC, after Phys.org - latest science and technology news stories: Nobel Prize in chemistry awarded to Kagan and Soai for developing 'spectacular' chemical reactions — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 7 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 0% |
| 6 Oct, 10:22 UTC | 10% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Harry Gray is named as one of the laureates in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences on October 7, 2026. It resolves to No if he is not selected, if the prize is withheld, or if no announcement occurs by December 31, 2026. Readers often mistake the linked story about Henri B.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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