Andy Burnham out as UK PM by December 31?
Implied probability 7%
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$25k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Andy Burnham or an authorized representative publicly announces his departure as UK Prime Minister by December 31 at 11:59 PM ET. The announcement must state that he will cease holding the position within 18 months of the statement date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%
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