Will Javier Milei win the Nobel Prize in Economics in 2026?
Implied probability 1%−1
Total volume$6k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves13 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 9 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 1% |
| 8 Oct, 09:20 UTC | 2% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Javier Milei is named a laureate in the official announcement from the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences by December 31, 2026. The prize can be shared with up to two other winners without changing the result. Readers often mistake the linked Peace Prize story for relevant information or miss that the deadline is the end of the year, not just the October announcement date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%
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