Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$8
Total volume$371k
Liquidity$53k
Resolves22 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 17:03 UTC | 0% |
| 18 Oct, 13:16 UTC | 0% |
| 17 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 1% |
| 17 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 0% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to "Yes" if LeBron James retires before the start of the 2026-2027 NBA season. An official announcement qualifies even if the retirement has not yet occurred, provided it states he will retire before that season begins. Readers often mistake the timing of his current activities for the resolution deadline.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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