Will Netanyahu say "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly?
Why it moved: +49 points at 18:45 UTC, after Washington Post: ‘Shame on you,’ Netanyahu says of Mamdani ahead of trip to NYC — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 75% |
| 23 Sept, 07:27 UTC | 75% |
| 23 Sept, 06:56 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Sept, 04:28 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Sept, 03:49 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Sept, 02:45 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Sept, 02:26 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Sept, 00:54 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Sept, 23:53 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Sept, 23:00 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 71% |
| 22 Sept, 22:08 UTC | 69% |
| 22 Sept, 21:53 UTC | 68% |
| 22 Sept, 21:26 UTC | 68% |
| 22 Sept, 20:57 UTC | 69% |
| 22 Sept, 20:12 UTC | 67% |
| 22 Sept, 19:49 UTC | 70% |
| 22 Sept, 19:17 UTC | 68% |
| 22 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 68% |
| 21 Sept, 18:45 UTC | 20% |
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Netanyahu says "Zohran" or "Mamdani" during his scheduled UN General Assembly speech on September 24, 2026. It resolves to No if he does not say either name in that specific appearance. Readers often mistake comments made outside this exact event for qualifying remarks.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 75%
- No 25%
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