UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Raul Rosas Jr. (Bantamweight, Main Card)
Implied probability 42%+1
24-hour volume$45k
Total volume$106k
Liquidity$129k
Resolves27 Sept 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 42% |
| 25 Sept, 06:54 UTC | 41% |
| 25 Sept, 03:50 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 22:31 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 22:00 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 21:10 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 20:38 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 20:10 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 18:56 UTC | 42% |
| 24 Sept, 12:09 UTC | 43% |
| 24 Sept, 00:09 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 19:49 UTC | 38% |
| 22 Sept, 16:46 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Sept, 14:57 UTC | 36% |
| 22 Sept, 14:28 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Sept, 08:40 UTC | 37% |
| 22 Sept, 06:39 UTC | 35% |
| 22 Sept, 06:02 UTC | 36% |
| 22 Sept, 01:32 UTC | 36% |
| 21 Sept, 22:41 UTC | 36% |
| 20 Sept, 22:40 UTC | 37% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
Raoni Barcelos wins if he is officially declared the winner of the fight. Raul Rosas Jr. wins if he is officially declared the winner. Readers often mistake the October 10, 2026 postponement deadline for the resolution date instead of the cutoff for a 50-50 outcome.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Raoni Barcelos 42%
- Raul Rosas Jr. 59%
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