France vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
Why it moved: −3 points at 14:01 UTC, after Bloomberg.com: Contagion Fears in European Markets over France Fiscal Woes — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 40% |
| 5 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 40% |
| 5 Oct, 18:07 UTC | 39% |
| 5 Oct, 17:14 UTC | 40% |
| 5 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 39% |
| 4 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 42% |
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What counts
The Over outcome occurs if France and Belgium score a combined total of four or more goals during regular play plus stoppage time. The Under outcome applies if their combined goal count is less than four. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the market closes immediately after the game ends, but it actually waits for official statistics from UEFA, with fallbacks to Flashscore and Sofascore if needed.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Over 40%
- Under 61%
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