Will Spain win on 2026-10-06?
Implied probability 72%+3
24-hour volume$32k
Total volume$36k
Liquidity$29k
Resolves6 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 21:30 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 20:30 UTC | 73% |
| 3 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 17:07 UTC | 71% |
| 3 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 72% |
| 3 Oct, 16:00 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 04:09 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 03:42 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 03:02 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 02:49 UTC | 69% |
| 2 Oct, 02:23 UTC | 70% |
| 2 Oct, 01:46 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Oct, 22:57 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Oct, 22:19 UTC | 69% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 70% |
| 1 Oct, 21:09 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 66% |
| 1 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 67% |
| 1 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 68% |
| 1 Oct, 16:06 UTC | 68% |
| 30 Sept, 16:06 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Spain wins the match scheduled for October 6, 2026, based only on the result within regular time and stoppage. It resolves to No if Spain does not win, including draws or losses, or if the game is canceled without a make-up match.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 72%
- No 28%
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