Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 21:50 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 21:29 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 20:34 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Sept, 20:20 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Sept, 19:39 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Sept, 19:21 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 18:25 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 16:49 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 16:03 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 15:54 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 15:24 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 14:15 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 13:46 UTC | 58% |
| 23 Sept, 13:28 UTC | 57% |
| 23 Sept, 12:54 UTC | 52% |
| 23 Sept, 11:51 UTC | 43% |
| 23 Sept, 11:13 UTC | 43% |
| 23 Sept, 00:34 UTC | 42% |
| 23 Sept, 00:00 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 23:34 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 19:10 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 18:58 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 13:06 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 12:57 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 12:11 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 11:27 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 10:26 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 09:59 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 08:56 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 07:47 UTC | 42% |
| 22 Sept, 06:51 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 06:21 UTC | 43% |
| 22 Sept, 04:45 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 23:49 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 22:41 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 20:18 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 19:28 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 18:51 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 17:37 UTC | 42% |
| 21 Sept, 17:23 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Sept, 16:56 UTC | 46% |
| 21 Sept, 16:15 UTC | 47% |
| 21 Sept, 15:55 UTC | 45% |
| 21 Sept, 15:29 UTC | 43% |
| 21 Sept, 14:55 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Sept, 14:54 UTC | 38% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
For the "Yes" outcome, Nithya Raman must win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election, either in the June 2 primary or the November 3 runoff if no candidate secures a majority initially. For the "No" outcome, any other candidate wins the election. Readers often mistake early polling data for the final result; only the official winner declared by credible reporting or City of Los Angeles records counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 58%
- No 42%
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