Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 20:20 UTC | 18% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 22% |
| 21 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 17:57 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 17:27 UTC | 21% |
| 21 Oct, 16:58 UTC | 22% |
| 21 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 15:17 UTC | 24% |
| 21 Oct, 14:55 UTC | 25% |
| 21 Oct, 10:54 UTC | 18% |
| 20 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 19% |
| 20 Oct, 23:07 UTC | 19% |
| 20 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 23% |
| 20 Oct, 20:58 UTC | 25% |
| 20 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 22% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 24% |
| 20 Oct, 14:33 UTC | 26% |
| 18 Oct, 10:45 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Oct, 21:32 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 25% |
| 17 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 27% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 20% |
| 17 Oct, 13:48 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 13:02 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 12:55 UTC | 23% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Oct, 11:20 UTC | 22% |
| 17 Oct, 10:12 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 21% |
| 17 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 20% |
| 17 Oct, 08:52 UTC | 20% |
| 17 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 27% |
| 16 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 23% |
| 15 Oct, 13:10 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Oct, 12:51 UTC | 24% |
| 15 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 11:53 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 10:45 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 03:36 UTC | 25% |
| 15 Oct, 03:25 UTC | 24% |
| 14 Oct, 23:14 UTC | 24% |
| 14 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 24% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Gyanesh Kumar stops being Chief Election Commissioner of India at any point before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. An official announcement of his resignation or removal counts as a Yes even if the change happens later. Readers often mistake the deadline for the date he actually leaves office rather than the date the market closes.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 83%
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