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Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?

Implied probability 4%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$436k
Liquidity$58k
Resolves5 Jan 2027

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What counts

The market resolves to "Yes" if Anthropic's private valuation reaches $5.0 trillion on Nasdaq Private Market (NPM) between now and December 31, 2026. If an IPO occurs, the resolution uses the official IPO price or public market capitalization instead. Readers often mistake the linked news story about quarterly revenue for the valuation metric, but only NPM prices or post-IPO data count.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 4%
  • No 96%

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