Spain snap election called by November 30?
Why it moved: +40 points at 09:01 UTC, after Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: Spain’s PM Pedro Sanchez calls snap election amid housing crisis — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 5 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 09:01 UTC | 60% |
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What counts
A snap election must be formally called in Spain by November 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET for the market to resolve to Yes. This requires the official dissolution of at least one house of the Spanish Parliament or a formal scheduling of an election before the term ends. Readers often mistake the announcement date for the calling date or rely on unofficial reports instead of official government sources.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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