Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres
The market favoured No at 55% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$9k
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$23k
Resolved7 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +55 points at 05:17 UTC, after www.espn.com: Padres pummel Cubs behind Tatis' leadoff blast, King's no-hit bid in Game 1 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 30 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 100% |
| 29 Sept, 05:17 UTC | 45% |
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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