Paris Saint-Germain FC leading at halftime?
The market favoured No at 73% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$21k
Total volume$21k
Liquidity$28k
Resolved14 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 22:45 UTC | 100% |
| 14 Oct, 18:20 UTC | 26% |
| 13 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 28% |
What counts
The outcome depends on whether Paris Saint-Germain leads at the end of the first 45 minutes plus stoppage time. Readers often mistake this for the final match result rather than just the halftime score.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
View this market on Polymarket →