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Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres

Implied probability 50%−6
24-hour volume$64k
Total volume$64k
Liquidity$1.0M
Resolves15 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −9 points at 08:40 UTC, after SI Feed: Padres Announce Starting Pitcher for Must-Win NLDS Game 4 vs Brewers — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Milwaukee Brewers vs. San Diego Padres
0%50%100%50%6 Oct, 08:40 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now50%
7 Oct, 18:20 UTC50%
7 Oct, 09:31 UTC49%
7 Oct, 08:40 UTC48%
6 Oct, 08:40 UTC57%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Milwaukee Brewers if they win the game and to San Diego Padres if they win. It stays open if the game is postponed but closes immediately if it ends in a tie or cancels without a make-up game. Readers often mistake the linked news story for the final result instead of waiting for the official MLB statistics.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Milwaukee Brewers 50%
  • San Diego Padres 51%

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