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Will Atlanta Braves advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?

Implied probability 52%+6
24-hour volume$62
Total volume$12k
Liquidity$180
Resolves5 Oct 2026

Why it moved: −8 points at 16:59 UTC, after SI Feed: Braves vs. Phillies Wild Card Series Game 3: Who Advances to NLDS? — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Will Atlanta Braves advance to the NLDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?
0%50%100%52%28 Sept, 12:18 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now52%
1 Oct, 23:38 UTC52%
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28 Sept, 12:18 UTC57%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if the Atlanta Braves reach the National League Division Series in the 2026 playoffs. The outcome is No if the team is mathematically eliminated from contention or if the playoffs are cancelled or delayed past October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Readers often mistake the linked Wild Card series for the resolution event, but only reaching the NLDS counts.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 52%
  • No 49%

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