Will Payton Talbott win by KO or TKO?
The market favoured No at 57% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Why it moved: +57 points at 02:05 UTC, after feeds.bleacherreport.com: Payton Talbott Beats Figueiredo, Stats, Judges' Scorecards, Prize Money & Highlights from UFC 332 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 4 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 100% |
| 3 Oct, 02:05 UTC | 43% |
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Payton Talbott defeats Deiveson Figueiredo by knockout, technical knockout, referee stoppage, doctor stoppage, or corner stoppage at UFC 332. The outcome is No if the fight ends in a draw, disqualification, no contest, cancellation, or postponement beyond October 17, 2026.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 100%
- No 0%
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