Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka
The market favoured Pakistan at 67% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$95k
Total volume$97k
Liquidity$0
Resolved16 Oct 2026
Why it moved: +16 points at 15:55 UTC, after Times of India: India smash highest T20I total vs WI as Samson, Iyer and Tilak go berserk in Ranchi — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 100% |
| 9 Oct, 16:44 UTC | 99% |
| 9 Oct, 16:23 UTC | 98% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 95% |
| 9 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 79% |
| 9 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 68% |
| 9 Oct, 14:09 UTC | 79% |
| 9 Oct, 13:52 UTC | 75% |
| 8 Oct, 13:44 UTC | 67% |
What counts
Pakistan wins if they win the scheduled T20 match against Sri Lanka on October 9, 2026. Sri Lanka wins if they win that same match. Readers often mistake this market for the linked Asian Games final between India and Pakistan.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Pakistan 100%
- Sri Lanka 0%
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