Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 91% |
| 30 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 91% |
| 29 Sept, 18:54 UTC | 92% |
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What counts
The Yes outcome occurs if a Democratic nominee wins the 2026 Minnesota Senate election, including any run-offs. The No outcome applies if a Republican or independent candidate wins. Readers often mistake the resolution source for a single outlet, but the market waits until the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC all call the race for the same candidate before resolving.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 91%
- No 10%
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