Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 31, 2026?
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$899
Total volume$24k
Liquidity$65k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 13:12 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Oct, 08:35 UTC | 8% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
Saudi regular armed forces must physically enter Yemen for combat by October 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. Training, intelligence support, or operations launched from outside Yemen do not count toward a Yes outcome. Readers often mistake foreign fighters or air strikes for qualifying troops.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 94%
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