Will Gold (GC) dip to (LOW) $3,000 by end of December?
Implied probability 5%+1
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$27k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 29 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 5% |
| 28 Sept, 06:12 UTC | 4% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if the official CME settlement price for the front-month Gold futures contract reaches $3,000 or lower on any trading day through December 2026. Otherwise, the outcome is No. Readers often mistake intraday lows or last traded prices for the required data; only the final daily settlement price published by CME counts.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%
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