Tampa Bay Rays vs. Cleveland Guardians
Why it moved: +3 points at 02:04 UTC, after www.espn.com: Follow live: Rays, Guardians face off in ALCS Game 4 — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 12:14 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 10:45 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 04:50 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 03:57 UTC | 55% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 02:04 UTC | 56% |
| 18 Oct, 01:49 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 09:19 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 52% |
| 17 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 51% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 53% |
| 17 Oct, 00:31 UTC | 54% |
| 16 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 55% |
| 15 Oct, 23:43 UTC | 53% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Tampa Bay Rays if they win the game and Cleveland Guardians if they win. It stays open if the game is postponed but closes immediately if it is canceled with no make-up game or ends in a tie. Readers often mistake the original October 17 date for the deadline, but the official start time is now October 18 at 5:00 PM ET.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Tampa Bay Rays 55%
- Cleveland Guardians 46%
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