Spread: Bears (-3.5)
Implied probability 51%
24-hour volume$113k
Total volume$186k
Liquidity$540k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 51% |
| 4 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 51% |
| 3 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 50% |
| 2 Oct, 17:52 UTC | 50% |
| 1 Oct, 21:59 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 10:06 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 09:52 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 09:23 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 08:11 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 49% |
| 1 Oct, 06:15 UTC | 48% |
| 1 Oct, 00:08 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Sept, 19:53 UTC | 48% |
| 30 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 49% |
| 30 Sept, 16:36 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 21:17 UTC | 48% |
| 29 Sept, 17:57 UTC | 47% |
| 28 Sept, 17:56 UTC | 45% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The Bears outcome triggers if they win by four points or more. The Jets outcome triggers if they win or lose by three points or fewer. Readers often mistake the final score for the margin, ignoring that a one-point loss still counts as a Jets win.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Bears 51%
- Jets 50%
Trade this market on Polymarket →