Trump goes to space in 2026?
Implied probability 2%
Total volume$54k
Liquidity$46k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 20:27 UTC | 2% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump is physically aboard any vehicle that reaches or crosses 50 miles above mean sea level by December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET. It resolves to No if this does not happen within the deadline. Readers often mistake the Kármán line (100 km) for the threshold or assume a White House helipad flight counts toward space travel.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%
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