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Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?

Resolved: Yes 18h ago

The market favoured Yes at 55% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

Final probability 100%
24-hour volume$3k
Total volume$90k
Liquidity$3k
Resolved11 Oct 2026
How the odds moved · Will Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 AL Central title?
0%50%100%100%20 Sept, 23:24 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now100%
27 Sept, 04:39 UTC100%
27 Sept, 02:08 UTC100%
27 Sept, 01:55 UTC94%
27 Sept, 01:24 UTC91%
27 Sept, 00:57 UTC88%
26 Sept, 23:51 UTC68%
26 Sept, 23:25 UTC59%
26 Sept, 21:41 UTC59%
26 Sept, 21:24 UTC58%
26 Sept, 20:20 UTC59%
26 Sept, 19:56 UTC59%
26 Sept, 17:32 UTC60%
26 Sept, 16:48 UTC59%
26 Sept, 15:40 UTC60%
26 Sept, 15:23 UTC60%
26 Sept, 14:37 UTC60%
26 Sept, 14:19 UTC60%
26 Sept, 13:50 UTC61%
26 Sept, 12:49 UTC60%
26 Sept, 08:02 UTC59%
26 Sept, 06:32 UTC56%
26 Sept, 06:25 UTC56%
26 Sept, 05:16 UTC56%
26 Sept, 04:52 UTC56%
26 Sept, 04:01 UTC59%
26 Sept, 03:53 UTC59%
26 Sept, 03:23 UTC50%
26 Sept, 02:32 UTC54%
26 Sept, 02:24 UTC55%
26 Sept, 01:54 UTC48%
26 Sept, 01:04 UTC51%
26 Sept, 00:56 UTC51%
26 Sept, 00:25 UTC48%
25 Sept, 23:37 UTC54%
25 Sept, 18:22 UTC55%
25 Sept, 17:06 UTC55%
25 Sept, 14:46 UTC56%
25 Sept, 14:25 UTC55%
25 Sept, 13:46 UTC55%
25 Sept, 13:18 UTC56%
25 Sept, 12:04 UTC56%
25 Sept, 11:48 UTC57%
25 Sept, 11:29 UTC58%
25 Sept, 10:57 UTC56%
25 Sept, 10:29 UTC55%
25 Sept, 09:57 UTC52%
25 Sept, 09:24 UTC49%
25 Sept, 08:52 UTC54%
25 Sept, 05:24 UTC57%
25 Sept, 04:56 UTC57%
25 Sept, 04:11 UTC57%
25 Sept, 03:44 UTC57%
25 Sept, 03:24 UTC57%
25 Sept, 02:33 UTC57%
25 Sept, 02:26 UTC58%
25 Sept, 01:46 UTC55%
25 Sept, 01:26 UTC52%
25 Sept, 00:59 UTC49%
25 Sept, 00:27 UTC49%
24 Sept, 23:59 UTC45%
24 Sept, 23:21 UTC41%
24 Sept, 22:38 UTC39%
24 Sept, 21:53 UTC41%
24 Sept, 21:25 UTC41%
24 Sept, 20:52 UTC38%
24 Sept, 20:10 UTC37%
24 Sept, 19:56 UTC38%
24 Sept, 19:24 UTC41%
24 Sept, 18:56 UTC43%
24 Sept, 18:24 UTC49%
24 Sept, 17:27 UTC50%
24 Sept, 16:47 UTC50%
24 Sept, 16:18 UTC49%
24 Sept, 15:59 UTC49%
24 Sept, 10:48 UTC53%
24 Sept, 09:13 UTC54%
24 Sept, 08:42 UTC60%
24 Sept, 08:22 UTC59%
24 Sept, 07:31 UTC61%
24 Sept, 07:25 UTC57%
24 Sept, 04:17 UTC54%
24 Sept, 03:52 UTC54%
24 Sept, 03:26 UTC54%
24 Sept, 02:44 UTC56%
24 Sept, 02:25 UTC52%
24 Sept, 01:58 UTC47%
24 Sept, 01:27 UTC50%
24 Sept, 00:55 UTC53%
24 Sept, 00:16 UTC56%
23 Sept, 23:41 UTC48%
23 Sept, 23:27 UTC49%
23 Sept, 06:28 UTC51%
23 Sept, 05:32 UTC52%
23 Sept, 05:19 UTC53%
23 Sept, 04:54 UTC54%
23 Sept, 04:28 UTC54%
23 Sept, 03:56 UTC54%
23 Sept, 03:04 UTC53%
23 Sept, 02:57 UTC55%
23 Sept, 02:26 UTC56%
23 Sept, 01:59 UTC52%
23 Sept, 01:27 UTC46%
23 Sept, 00:47 UTC50%
23 Sept, 00:22 UTC51%
22 Sept, 23:53 UTC51%
22 Sept, 23:28 UTC50%
22 Sept, 22:54 UTC46%
22 Sept, 18:15 UTC52%
22 Sept, 17:54 UTC52%
22 Sept, 15:04 UTC52%
22 Sept, 14:57 UTC52%
22 Sept, 13:15 UTC53%
22 Sept, 12:57 UTC53%
22 Sept, 11:00 UTC53%
22 Sept, 10:52 UTC53%
22 Sept, 06:33 UTC53%
22 Sept, 06:27 UTC53%
22 Sept, 03:27 UTC52%
22 Sept, 02:55 UTC52%
22 Sept, 02:20 UTC51%
22 Sept, 01:47 UTC52%
22 Sept, 01:25 UTC51%
21 Sept, 06:57 UTC53%
21 Sept, 04:50 UTC54%
21 Sept, 03:42 UTC53%
21 Sept, 01:19 UTC54%
21 Sept, 00:24 UTC54%
20 Sept, 23:24 UTC57%

What counts

The Yes outcome requires the Cleveland Guardians to finish with the best record in the 2026 American League Central division. The No outcome applies if any other team wins the division or if the season ends without a declared winner. Readers often mistake playoff qualification for winning the division title.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 100%
  • No 0%

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