Spread: Texans (-2.5)
Implied probability 53%−1
24-hour volume$783k
Total volume$834k
Liquidity$640k
Resolves4 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 16:55 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 15:58 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 15:19 UTC | 53% |
| 4 Oct, 14:59 UTC | 52% |
| 4 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 53% |
| 2 Oct, 23:04 UTC | 54% |
| 2 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 55% |
| 2 Oct, 22:09 UTC | 56% |
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What counts
The Texans outcome resolves if Houston wins by three points or more. The Cowboys outcome resolves if they win, tie, or if the game is canceled without a makeup. Readers often mistake the point spread for the margin needed to trigger the Texans win.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Texans 53%
- Cowboys 48%
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