Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?
Implied probability 30%−13
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$7k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves1 Jul 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 16:53 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 14:44 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 12:45 UTC | 30% |
| 8 Oct, 08:17 UTC | 31% |
| 8 Oct, 07:58 UTC | 34% |
| 8 Oct, 07:13 UTC | 36% |
| 8 Oct, 00:06 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 20:43 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 15:40 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 15:24 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 43% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 44% |
| 7 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 36% |
| 6 Oct, 00:35 UTC | 19% |
Your call. How does this end?
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What counts
For the Yes outcome, the total points deducted from Manchester City must be 50 or more. For the No outcome, the total deduction must be less than 50 points. Readers often mistake the deadline for the final verdict announcement instead of the June 30, 2027 cutoff date.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 30%
- No 71%
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